Seven breakout bets loom large for this fantasy season: Deni Avdija, Austin Reaves, Mark Williams, Peyton Pritchard, Donovan Clingan, Tumani Kamara, and Assar Thompson. Each arrives with real late-round upside and a plausible path to 9-cat or 8-cat value, based on minutes, usage shifts, and improving efficiency. The host highlights ADP movement, notes turnover dynamics, and stresses punt-turnover builds as a viable strategy for chasing these breakout candidates. The Blazers’ shifting rotation and the Celtics’ revamped container of bigs provide context for how these players may carve steady roles and hit ceilings in the mid-to-late rounds.

Key themes: late-round targets with clear minutes paths, a focus on efficiency and defensive stats, and the importance of roster construction that buffers risk (rest days, back-to-backs). The show blends player-floor analysis with practical draft tactics, urging fantasy managers to target these names in the mid rounds and monitor ADP shifts as drafts approach.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander anchors a value-forward draft approach, crowned as the clear first-round value on Yahoo's board thanks to last season's fantasy totals and elite per-game pace. Tyrese Maxi follows as the round-two target, especially if Joel Embiid and Paul George miss time to start the year, offering big-volume scoring and reliable counting stats. Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry anchor the upper-middle rounds, with Durant's high usage tempered by durability concerns and Curry's upside hinging on health. Derrick White lands in round four as a true across-the-board producer, while Jimmy Butler anchors a high-floor, durability-conscious fifth-round plan. OG Anunoby, Fred VanVleet, and Donovan Clingan populate mid-rounds with steady multi-category value and upside. A balanced build, aiming for five-to-six assist-threaded contributors and strong safety nets, drives Dan Bespers’ mid-round selections. The episode also touches on late-round sleepers like Keegan Murray and Austin Reeves as potential swing picks to push a roster over the ADP floor.

Across the board, the strategy emphasizes value over name-brand prestige, prioritizing players who can deliver in multiple categories even when their usage varies week-to-week. The host argues for targeted exposure to high-floor veterans and a few high-upside youngsters to weather rest days and injuries. The overall takeaway: identify those mid-round stalwarts who can anchor several categories, then fill gaps with high-variance scorers who can swing week-to-week outcomes in favor of your fantasy squad.

Jaylen Brown steps into the lead role with Tatum sidelined, carrying a heavy usage load but facing efficiency and turnover questions that cap upside. Boston’s center rotation remains muddled as Porzingis exits (to Atlanta) and Horford/Drew Holiday return, making mid-round value hard to pin down. Derek White pops as a durable supportive target, while Payton Pritchard and Anthony Simons vie for secondary ball handling and scoring with big swings in minutes. Sam Hauser provides floor spacing though minutes remain volatile; draft strategy should emphasize upside within a clarified guard rotation and contend with a crowded frontcourt.

The Celtics’ win projection sits around a mid-40s total, with FanDuel’s 42.5 line drawing attention to the balance of risk and upside. In this environment, late-round gambles on White and Hauser offer steadiness, while Brown’s ceiling hinges on how Boston mitigates the absence of Tatum and how aggressively the new pieces fit around him. The narrative centers on opportunistic rosters that can capitalize on gradual usage shifts and minutes).